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Key political trends that could shape the Middle East in 2024

Caroline Rose

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Yet, some experts argue that various issues such as the Captagon trade will result in Syria’s return to the MENA region’s fold occurring at a slower tempo.

“Regarding Syria’s quest for normalisation in 2024, I think that it will not be able to maintain the momentum it once experienced in the spring and summer of 2023. Countries such as Jordan have recognised the regime’s unchanged red lines and inability to deliver change on objectives such as reducing narcotrafficking across Syrian borders,” said Caroline Rose, a senior analyst and head of the power vacuums programme at the New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy, in a TNA interview.

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